🔮 Coming Soon — Beta Feature
Intelligence Layer

How the Snag Probability Score Works

CampSnag doesn't just alert you when a site opens — it predicts how likely a site is to open based on historical patterns, seasonal demand, and real booking data.

What is the Snag Score?

The Snag Probability Score is a 0–100 rating assigned to each alert that estimates how likely you are to receive a matching campsite notification within your date range. A score of 85 means there's a high chance a site will open. A score of 12 means it's a long shot — but we'll keep watching.

We're building this feature now using the cancellation data we've been collecting since launch. Once we have 30+ days of data per park, the scores become statistically meaningful.

Sample Snag Scores
Upper Pines, Yosemite — July 4th weekend78
Jumbo Rocks, Joshua Tree — October weekday52
Many Glacier, Glacier NP — August weekend24

What goes into the score?

📅
Historical cancellation rate
How often has this campground had cancellations during similar date ranges in past seasons?
📆
Day of week
Weekday stays cancel at 2-3x the rate of weekend stays. Mid-week alerts score higher.
🗓️
Time to date
Cancellations spike 7-14 days before the stay as plans change. Alerts close to the date score higher.
🌡️
Seasonal demand
Peak summer at Yosemite is near-zero cancellation. Shoulder season openings are more common.
⏱️
Recent activity
Our live data. If we've seen 3 openings at this campground in the last 48 hours, the score goes up.
🏕️
Site type
RV sites cancel more than tent sites. Large group sites cancel at the highest rate of all.

When will this be available?

The Snag Score launches in CampSnag V2, expected in summer 2026. It will appear in your alert dashboard next to each active alert and in the SMS you receive when we detect an opening.

If you want early access, sign up for a free trial now — beta users will get the Snag Score dashboard before public release.

Get early access to Snag Score

Sign up for a free trial and you'll be first in line when the Snag Score dashboard goes live.

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